THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON FOOD SUPPLY IN NIGERIA: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS FROM 1980-2020
Abstract
The aim of the study is to examine the effect of climate change on food supply in Nigeria between 1980- 2020. The study used an ex-post facto research strategy because it examines prior occurrences of an existing state to identify the variables that are related to specific occurrences of carbon dioxide on the food supply. The 2022 World Development Indicator was used to gather an annual series of data for the years 1980- 2020. The natural log of food production index was used as a proxy for the availability of food, and the natural logs of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from burning fossil fuels, liquid fuel consumption, and solid fuel consumption were used as proxies for the state of the climate. EViews version 9 was used to analyze the study, which used a log-log econometric model. The study conducted a pre-estimation test via descriptive statistics, Augmented Dickey Fuller unit root test to ascertain whether the series is stationary or not. A post-estimation test was conducted through the Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Bound Co-integration test and the Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag model to test the hypotheses. According to the study, carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from the burning of fossil fuels have an impact on food production, whereas emissions from the use of liquid and solid fuels have no impact on food production in Nigeria. The study then makes two recommendations: first, given that Nigeria's food supply experiences fewer widespread failures, farmers should be trained to adapt to and mitigate the effects of climate change. Second, the government should frequently disseminate information via radio and television programs.
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